Narcea vs Colloto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PCF
1 - 0
NAR
56%
25%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 0
SLA
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 2
NAR
27%
26%
47%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
NAR
0 - 1
SIE
16%
26%
58%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
RIB
2 - 1
NAR
63%
22%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colloto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
COL
1 - 2
SLA
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
SIE
4 - 1
COL
75%
16%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
COL
1 - 0
TUR
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
SMA
0 - 0
COL
43%
28%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
COL
1 - 3
LLA
52%
26%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |