Narcea vs Codema CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
NAR
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 3
MUR
21%
23%
56%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
QUI
4 - 2
NAR
43%
24%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
POD
3 - 1
NAR
50%
21%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Codema CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
COD
1 - 3
MAN
46%
22%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HIS
2 - 0
COD
53%
22%
25%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
COD
0 - 1
FRE
19%
18%
63%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PDV
3 - 0
COD
64%
19%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
COD
1 - 2
ATL
71%
16%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |