Narcea vs Avilés Stadium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
NAR
50%
24%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
BOA
56%
23%
21%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAP
2 - 2
NAR
70%
19%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
4 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AST
2 - 2
NAR
54%
24%
22%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avilés Stadium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
AVI
7 - 1
ARE
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LUA
0 - 2
AVI
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 1
POD
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BOS
2 - 2
AVI
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
AVI
3 - 1
HIS
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |