Narcea vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
50.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
4 - 0
NAR
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NAR
3 - 3
ROC
35%
26%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AND
1 - 1
NAR
63%
22%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 1
CAM
39%
25%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PIL
1 - 0
NAR
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 2
ATL
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ROC
1 - 1
ATL
36%
27%
37%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
AND
55%
24%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |