Narcea vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 0
NAR
65%
20%
15%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
NAR
0 - 2
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAM
5 - 0
NAR
44%
25%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NAR
2 - 1
MOS
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
COL
3 - 0
NAR
69%
19%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 1
AST
61%
22%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
COV
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TIN
1 - 0
ATL
40%
27%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PIL
1 - 2
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |