Narcea vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LUA
3 - 3
NAR
60%
22%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NAR
0 - 0
PRA
36%
25%
39%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SMA
2 - 1
NAR
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NAR
5 - 0
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
URR
1 - 0
NAR
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
COL
40%
25%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
HIS
0 - 2
ATL
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
3 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TAP
1 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ATL
2 - 1
ATL
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |