Narahio vs CF Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narahio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 3
NAR
26%
22%
52%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
NAR
2 - 0
CAR
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ROS
3 - 2
NAR
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NAR
3 - 2
CEB
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
RAP
2 - 1
NAR
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CF Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
EST
2 - 4
RAP
21%
18%
61%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
MAN
38%
21%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
XCA
1 - 4
EST
47%
19%
33%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
EST
3 - 2
CAR
24%
19%
57%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ORT
2 - 1
EST
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |