Nara-ShBFR vs PFK Dimitrov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
NAR
0 - 1
TOR
43%
27%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PSK
1 - 1
NAR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SAC
1 - 2
NAR
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
NAR
2 - 2
TKA
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
NAR
0 - 2
SPA
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
PFK Dimitrov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
IST
2 - 1
PFK
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PFK
0 - 0
SEV
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
PFK
0 - 1
DIN
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
PFK
0 - 0
TOR
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2009 |
PFK
3 - 0
SAC
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |