Nara Club vs Niigata University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
NAR
0 - 0
TOC
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
NAR
0 - 1
TMF
40%
28%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
KAG
1 - 2
NAR
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
NAR
1 - 0
AZU
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ZWE
2 - 1
NAR
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Niigata University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
NUN
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 72 | 58 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
GIF
2 - 1
NUN
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
KAA
2 - 1
NUN
94%
5%
1%
|
14 | 83 | 69 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 1
NUN
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 1
NUN
72%
19%
10%
|
13 | 58 | 45 | 0 |