Napredak Krusevac vs Radnik Surdulica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
RAD
2 - 0
NAP
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 1
JAV
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
1 - 2
TOM
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
LKS
3 - 0
NAP
30%
24%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
BVR
1 - 2
NAP
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
RAD
2 - 2
MAV
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
RAD
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
DTB
2 - 2
RAD
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
OBK
1 - 1
RAD
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
ROT
2 - 2
RAD
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |