Napredak Krusevac vs IMT Novi Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
16º
16º
1
8º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
3 | 58 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 52 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 49 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 44 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
1 | 42 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 37 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 37 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 35 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 34 |
13º
|
6.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 33 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 26 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
6.5% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93.5% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ČUK
1 - 0
NAP
57%
26%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
SLA
0 - 2
NAP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
NAG
0 - 1
NAP
12%
17%
71%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
NAP
0 - 0
RUZ
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
NAP
2 - 2
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
IMT Novi Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
MLA
1 - 1
NOV
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 2
RAD
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 0
JAV
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAP
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |