Napredak Krusevac vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
62.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
10º
16º
10º
58
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
NAP
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 0
VOR
25%
25%
51%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
JAV
2 - 1
NAP
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
NAP
0 - 0
ČUK
17%
24%
59%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
CSK
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACH
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
TSC
1 - 1
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 0
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 2
MLA
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |