Napredak Krusevac vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napredak Krusevac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
RAD
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MLA
0 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 0
FKS
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
RAD
1 - 0
NAP
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 0
MLA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CRV
4 - 0
ČUK
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 0
CRV
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CRV
4 - 1
TSC
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
CRV
2 - 0
RAD
79%
15%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 4
CRV
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |