Napoli vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
NAP
3 - 2
BOL
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
0 - 1
NAP
16%
21%
64%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SAS
2 - 6
ATL
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 1
SAS
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SAS
1 - 1
TOR
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FRO
0 - 2
SAS
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SAS
3 - 3
FIO
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |