Napoli vs Ternana Calcio analysis


66	ELO	68
-16.7%	Tilt	-2.3%
6º	General ELO ranking	606º
2º	Country ELO ranking	36º
ELO win probability

37.5%

Napoli

27.7%

Draw

34.8%

Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

37.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%

27.7%

Draw

0-0

9.1%

1-1

13.1%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.7%

34.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
16 Nov. 2003	PAL 4 - 0 NAP 53% 26% 22%	66	71	5
09 Nov. 2003	NAP 0 - 0 SAL 57% 24% 19%	66	58	8
02 Nov. 2003	CAG 1 - 1 NAP 53% 25% 22%	66	69	3
25 Oct. 2003	NAP 2 - 2 TOR 36% 29% 35%	66	73	7
18 Oct. 2003	NAP 1 - 1 VIC 38% 28% 35%	66	70	4

Matches

Ternana Calcio

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
16 Nov. 2003	TER 1 - 1 ASC 58% 23% 19%	69	61	8	0
09 Nov. 2003	TER 3 - 2 FIO 33% 27% 40%	68	77	9	+1
02 Nov. 2003	LIV 1 - 0 TER 46% 25% 29%	69	67	2	-1
25 Oct. 2003	TER 2 - 2 AVE 67% 21% 12%	69	55	14	0
18 Oct. 2003	COM 0 - 2 TER 41% 26% 32%	69	66	3	0