Napoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAT
0 - 0
NAP
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
4 - 0
AIK
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 3
NAP
41%
25%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LAZ
0 - 1
GEN
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
TOT
0 - 0
LAZ
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
LAZ
31%
28%
42%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 0
PAL
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
LAZ
3 - 1
MUR
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |