Napoli vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
INT
3 - 1
NAP
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEC
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 0
STB
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAL
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 4
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
MAC
40%
24%
36%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 3
JUV
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |