Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 3-0
Napoli vs IF Elfsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
VCF
1 - 1
NAP
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 0
NAP
9%
18%
73%
|
83 | 20 | 63 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 1
WOL
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
NAP
2 - 1
CTT
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
NAP
13 - 0
USA
87%
11%
2%
|
83 | 10 | 73 | 0 |
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ELF
4 - 1
KAL
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
HAL
1 - 3
ELF
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
TET
1 - 2
ELF
16%
24%
61%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ELF
1 - 0
GEF
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
ELF
5 - 0
TET
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |