Napoli vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VIS
1 - 1
NAP
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
NAP
3 - 0
GIU
57%
26%
17%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
RIM
2 - 1
NAP
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
NAP
1 - 0
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
USF
4 - 1
NAP
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
FER
0 - 1
TER
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
FER
48%
28%
24%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
FER
0 - 1
CTT
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
FER
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
FER
0 - 2
REG
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |