Napoli vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
NAP
20%
24%
56%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
NAP
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 1
SWA
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCP
4 - 1
ARO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
EIN
3 - 3
FCP
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |