Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NAP
1 - 3
FCP
45%
24%
30%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 2
NAP
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
GAL
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
51%
24%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
WBA
2 - 0
BOL
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 2
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
BOL
0 - 3
NAP
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |