Champions League . Last 16
Global 2-4
Napoli vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 1
GEN
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 0
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
VER
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
34%
26%
40%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
29%
24%
48%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 2
FCB
11%
19%
70%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 3
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 3
FCB
8%
18%
74%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
OSA
76%
15%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 5
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |