Napoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
VER
0 - 3
NAP
21%
24%
55%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAM
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 1
NAP
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NAP
4 - 2
INT
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 0
ARS
22%
21%
57%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAT
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2014 |
ACM
3 - 0
ATL
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 4
JUV
16%
25%
59%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 1
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |