Napoli vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
NAP
3 - 3
UDI
63%
21%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 4
NAP
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
BVB
3 - 1
NAP
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NAP
0 - 1
PAR
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JUV
3 - 0
NAP
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARS
1 - 1
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
HUL
84%
12%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
ARS
10%
19%
72%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
SOU
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |