Napoli vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USC
1 - 4
NAP
12%
20%
68%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 6
NAP
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 1
TOR
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
46%
25%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GLA
0 - 3
NAP
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 4
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 6
NAP
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 1
GAE
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
2 - 1
AJA
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |