Napoli U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
3º
22
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
NAP
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 0
NAP
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
RMA
6 - 0
NAP
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
4 - 1
BEN
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PES
2 - 2
NAP
38%
23%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 1
TER
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
CRO
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CRO
1 - 3
PES
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
3 - 3
CRO
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |