Napoli U19 vs SSC Bari U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
3º
34
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CES
4 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 4
RMA
9%
16%
75%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TER
0 - 3
NAP
47%
23%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
NAP
3 - 1
BEN
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 2
CCS
26%
23%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 5
SPE
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PES
1 - 2
BAR
37%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
ASC
24%
21%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PER
5 - 3
BAR
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CRO
0 - 2
BAR
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |