Napier City Rovers vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 0
CAN
58%
22%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
NSH
0 - 2
NAP
29%
23%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 1
CAV
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 0
NAP
27%
22%
51%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
DUN
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
3 - 2
MIR
17%
20%
63%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 3
CEN
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 3
EAU
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
TCU
2 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |