Nantes U19 vs Saint Renan U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+417%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
10º
1º
18
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REN
0 - 3
NAN
18%
23%
60%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAN
4 - 0
SCB
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
TOU
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 4
NAN
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 0
STA
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Renan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SRS
0 - 2
SAM
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 0
SRS
82%
11%
7%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 1
STA
14%
18%
69%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 2
AVR
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 1
SRS
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +1 |