Nantes U19 vs Bergerac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+461%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
10º
1º
13
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
LAV
0 - 2
NAN
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
NAN
3 - 0
SRS
86%
9%
5%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REN
0 - 3
NAN
18%
23%
60%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAN
4 - 0
SCB
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
TOU
88%
8%
4%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BER
1 - 1
SAM
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 1
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ANG
23%
22%
56%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 3
BER
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |