Nantes II vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
11º
2º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RED
8%
17%
76%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
FON
50%
27%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USS
2 - 0
NAN
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 0
LAV
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
LPS
57%
24%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NIO
0 - 2
SPG
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
ASC
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LSD
0 - 0
SPG
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
SPG
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 3
SNA
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |