Nanjing City vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 1
QFC
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 2
NAN
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
DAL
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
HKF
3 - 1
NAN
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 1
NAN
13%
19%
69%
|
59 | 19 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
QIN
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 1
SHI
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHI
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 4
TIT
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 1
HAN
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |