Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASN
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ASN
0 - 4
TFC
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
PAU
2 - 1
ASN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ASN
2 - 2
GUI
37%
25%
39%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
MET
3 - 2
ASN
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 3
NÎM
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 1
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIO
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
REI
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
VAL
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |