Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 1
ASN
7%
16%
77%
|
66 | 29 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
AUX
0 - 0
ASN
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
ASN
2 - 1
CHA
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VAU
1 - 3
ASN
6%
12%
82%
|
65 | 30 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 2
DIJ
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
3 - 0
LOR
22%
24%
53%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 0
PFC
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TOU
1 - 2
VAL
6%
14%
80%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
AUX
1 - 1
VAL
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |