Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 0
ASN
31%
27%
43%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 2
ASN
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ASN
3 - 1
LHA
57%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 3
ASN
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DIN
2 - 4
ASN
6%
14%
80%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ASB
1 - 2
VAL
18%
25%
58%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
AJA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
CLE
2 - 0
VAL
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 2
NÎM
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
VAL
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |