Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
REN
1 - 1
ASN
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASN
0 - 0
AUX
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
AUX
41%
28%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 1
ASN
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 2
SOC
44%
27%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
4 - 0
DIJ
55%
25%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 1
VAL
25%
28%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
DIJ
3 - 2
VAL
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |