Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASN
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 4
MON
41%
27%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CAE
2 - 3
ASN
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASN
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 3
PSG
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 1
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
LIL
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
4 - 0
USB
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MON
0 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |