Nancy vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 1
ASN
38%
29%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LMU
2 - 1
ASN
42%
29%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
LIL
45%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ASN
1 - 0
GIR
41%
28%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 0
REN
36%
30%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
STR
0 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 0
CAE
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
LYO
2 - 0
VAL
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
REN
0 - 2
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |