Nancy vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
MPL
1 - 0
ASN
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
THO
1 - 0
ASN
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
ASN
1 - 0
BAS
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
LEN
0 - 1
ASN
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
CSL
0 - 1
ASN
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2000 |
TRO
1 - 2
MAR
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
VAN
0 - 1
TRO
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
STR
2 - 0
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
NAN
3 - 0
TRO
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
TRO
1 - 4
MON
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |