Nancy vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
LMU
3 - 0
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
FCG
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ASN
1 - 1
GRE
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
CLE
3 - 1
ASN
36%
29%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ASS
3 - 2
TFC
50%
27%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
TFC
0 - 0
LUS
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 1
TFC
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
TFC
1 - 0
ESW
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ASB
0 - 0
TFC
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |