Nancy vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 1
MAR
31%
29%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASN
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ASN
1 - 0
LMU
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NAN
3 - 0
ASN
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ASN
0 - 0
NIC
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
STR
0 - 0
SOC
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
NAN
4 - 3
STR
52%
27%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 1
STR
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
STR
0 - 0
NIC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 0
STR
58%
25%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |