Nancy vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1985 |
ASN
2 - 1
LEN
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
PSG
2 - 0
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASN
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1985 |
ASN
3 - 0
NIC
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
SPO
0 - 1
AUX
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 1
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
SPO
0 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
STL
2 - 0
SPO
46%
27%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
LIL
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |