Nancy vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PSG
0 - 0
ASN
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
43%
29%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ASN
0 - 0
REN
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
S04
1 - 0
ASN
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TFC
2 - 2
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
S04
2 - 0
WOL
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
S04
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
S04
1 - 0
ASN
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 9
S04
12%
23%
65%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
S04
2 - 0
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |