Nancy vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
THI
1 - 1
ASN
8%
18%
75%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASN
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
LYO
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
TFC
3 - 0
ASN
43%
29%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 4
LIL
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
0 - 0
HYE
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
FCG
0 - 0
PLA
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
3 - 0
TRO
15%
26%
59%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 1
NIC
13%
23%
64%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PAC
2 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |