Nancy vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASN
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 1
NAN
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 2
ASN
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ASN
0 - 2
GUI
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
REN
2 - 0
ASN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
NIC
4 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MPL
1 - 1
NIC
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
NIC
0 - 1
S04
32%
25%
44%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NIC
3 - 2
MAR
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
43%
27%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |