Nancy vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
FCM
0 - 0
ASN
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ASN
0 - 1
FCG
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
LHA
0 - 0
ASN
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
ASN
1 - 1
AMI
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
AJA
4 - 2
ASN
31%
29%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NIC
3 - 1
NIO
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ASB
1 - 0
NIC
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
NIC
2 - 0
NÎM
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
STR
3 - 0
NIC
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
NIC
2 - 1
STL
43%
28%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |