Nancy vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
33.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2000 |
ASN
2 - 1
SOC
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
REN
3 - 1
ASN
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
ASN
1 - 2
TRO
56%
25%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
MPL
1 - 0
ASN
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
THO
1 - 0
ASN
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
OLY
1 - 3
MET
9%
21%
71%
|
86 | 35 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MET
2 - 0
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
NAN
1 - 3
MET
52%
27%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2000 |
MET
1 - 1
MON
27%
25%
47%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
PAC
0 - 2
MET
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | +1 |