Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 2
LIL
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PSG
1 - 0
ASN
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ASN
0 - 0
TFC
35%
27%
37%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
ASN
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 2
PSG
10%
18%
73%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 4
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
GIR
2 - 1
LOR
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
LOR
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
NIC
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |