Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASN
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ASN
2 - 3
LYO
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AUX
2 - 2
ASN
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 2
GIR
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
BRE
62%
24%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 0
LOR
64%
21%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 1
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
BRE
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 1
CAE
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |