Nancy vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
PLA
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
THI
1 - 1
ASN
8%
18%
75%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASN
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
LYO
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
TFC
3 - 0
ASN
43%
29%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASS
4 - 1
LOR
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 3
LYO
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LMU
0 - 3
LOR
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 2
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |